As a response, marriage rates over time: https://www.google.com/search?q=marriag...

throwawayaway · on March 17, 2015

the demonstrated decreasing marriage rate does not support the premise that divorce rates are increasing.

is your response relevant in some other way?

irishcoffee · on March 17, 2015

Divorce rates would tend to decrease if marriage rates decrease. Can't divorce if you aren't married.

nl · on March 17, 2015

Well..

On the first row of result images in the "divorce rate" search you posted there are 5 graphs. 2 of them measure "divorces per 1000 people", and 3 measure "divorces per 1000 marriages".

In the divorce per 1000 marriages case, it would appear to be independent of the marriage rate.

chkuendig · on March 17, 2015

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/02/upshot/the-divorce-surge-i...

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/marriage-isnt-dead-yet/

a) Divorce rates are actually decreasing b) They aren't independent of the marriage rate though (as the marriage rate is decreasing for the people most likely to get divorced)

bobbles · on March 17, 2015

But is there for example a higher chance of someone getting a 2nd divorce if they have a 2nd marriage? a 3rd divorce if they get a 3rd marriage?

I wonder when it starts to taper off

throwawayaway · on March 17, 2015

> Divorce rates would tend to decrease if marriage rates decrease.

I agree. That is happening. So the premise that divorce rates are ever increasing is incorrect as applied to the whole population and it is wrong as applied to the married population.