I am willing to bet $10k to a 501c3 charity of the winner’s choice this doesn’t happen and that the thesis is deficient. Let me know if you want to take the bet, we’ll use Longbets.org to officiate.
Gonna gently suggest to you that someone who can go "I'll put $10k in escrow for a few decades over an internet comment" perhaps may struggle to understand the desperation of someone with a disabling chronic illness to get access to medical treatment. (And their lack of means to match such a bet, no matter their confidence in the position.)
On the contrary, I financially support several people who are disabled and will never work again (to bridge them until they qualify for age tested benefits). I bought a piece of land in the Midwest, and am building tiny homes for them one by one. I previously did a short stint as a Guardian ad Litem in Florida for disadvantaged children who needed an independent advocate, and I act as a patient advocate today for folks who need healthcare and have a hard time accessing it. My deceased mother could not claim Social Security disability while genuinely disabled, and I was first hand involved in the process to see how the system is built to prevent entitled beneficiaries from claiming disability benefits up to her early death at 60.
I am resourced (out of luck), but also high empathy and intimately familiar with the struggles you mention. The bet isn't only because I can afford it, but because I am so familiar with the data I know I'm right. This is why I am for universal healthcare, see no other path forward, and I hope this better explains the mental model my arguments in this context are based upon.
> The bet isn't only because I can afford it, but because I am so familiar with the data I know I'm right.
I mean, same position here. I just don't have $10k to sit in escrow for years. I've similarly got plenty of first-hand experience; one on Medicare and one on Medicaid in the family due to disability, and even with those and a reasonably well paying job we'd absolutely consider moving for a program as described.
Data-wise, we've already got quite a bit demonstrating that California's better-than-average social services are more attractive to homeless folks, to the point where they have ~25% of the country's population of them.
I'm also for universal healthcare. I just don't think doing it unilaterally at the state-level is likely to work very well with freedom of movement between states, as with gun control.
