> In hydrocarbons the majority of energy comes from the oxidation of hydrogen.
This I wasn't quite aware of. Thanks for the correction.
> But it's theoretically possible to burn hydrocarbons and turn the CO2 into coal and leave it like that with a net energy gain
This would be a game-changer! Though "theoretically" is pulling a bit of weight here...
> We should get rid of coal first, as it's irredeemable in this regard and methane second, as it's a greenhouse gas which tends to leak,
I also agree with your list. Burning stuff for grid energy should stop ASAP. Liquid fuel for transport is, however, the most difficult and probably the last to be replaced. It's to the point that generating green liquid fuels (that don't use fossil sources of carbon) is still actively researched and used, as air travel or shipping may never become feasible on green energy sources.
Ever see a diesel 'rolling coal'? They are burning the hydrogen and sending carbon into the air. Terrible for the local evironment though. this is still carbon positive though since some carbon is burned - just not all.
> But it's theoretically possible to burn hydrocarbons and turn the CO2 into coal and leave > it like that with a net energy gain
> This would be a game-changer! Though "theoretically" is pulling a bit of weight here...
In nat. gas this is possible - its called pyrolisis - as an alternative to steam reformation it is generating pure carbon and hydrogen instead of the CO2 and Hydrogen that steam reformation does.
Its main downside is that it takes more energy so you get less usable energy out of the process.
You can do it with other organic fuels as well and the simplest process is making charcoal from wood but its not as clear a way to separate out carbon there.
China has started adding battery electric container ships to it's local shipping fleets. They have also started using some battery electric cargo trains. Now if they can just get off coal for their electricity consumption they are very close to the tipping point. So in my opinion we are getting there in terms of carbon output but I also think it is to late to stop global warming and we have crossed the point of no return already.
While the US looks at China as the convenient villan here, the rest of the world sees the US as the villan and China at least aggressively attacking the problem.
And that's before we consider the impact Chinese exports of solar panels and inverters have had on renewable energy production outside of China.
One may not like the system of govt in China, or their human rights policies (personally, I don't, but each to his own), but as far as climate change goes they're getting stuff done while the US govt does nothing. Or actively fights against improvements.
Decades ago, coal was said to be in terminal decline. Years ago, coal was supposed to be economically dead due to being more expensive than renewables. Today we have yet to hit global peak-coal, China emits more CO2 than all western countries combined now, its emissions per-capita are higher than all but a handful of developed countries, and they are continuing to spike alarmingly. China is also home to some of the cheapest and most abundant renewable energy generation manufacturing in the world. Something isn't quite adding up.
It was maybe "said" ... There seems to have been quite a bit of groupthink (or propaganda) over the decades that new energy sources would supplant old and it's never been really accurate. AIUI, wider use of oil created more demand for coal, wider use of renewables creates more demand for oil and so forth, because amongst other things new energy production puts greater demand on existing sources, plus the new-lanes-on-the-highway tendency of late capitalism to put all of it to work making the rich richer etc.
Renewables aren't "new sources" by now though. They are existing sources. So if production demands more energy and renewables are the cheapest existing sources of energy, then you would build more renewable generation, not more coal generation.
I think what actually happened is that people with agendas pushed this deception to fool people into acting and voting against their own best interests.
> But oil didn't displace coal, it helped us mine it more effectively and stimulated more technologies that raised energy demand overall. So coal use kept rising too – and oil use in turn kept increasing as cleaner gas, nuclear and hydro came on stream, helping power the digital age, which unlocked more advanced technologies capable of opening up harder-to-read fossil-fuel reserves.
With renewables I agree it isn't the same. What is the same is we're only going to get out of this by turning away from growth-at-all-costs mentality. For instance, this article describes how the Gulf states are making huge investments in renewables _to sell more oil and gas_ (https://www.tni.org/en/article/a-transition-to-where-the-gul...):
> The Gulf states see no contradiction between an embrace of ‘low-carbon solutions’ and pursuing the path of accelerating fossil fuel production ... With very high levels of energy consumption at home, the domestic substitution of oil and gas with alternative energy sources means that more fossil fuels can be made available for export. Indeed, such reasoning is explicitly behind Saudi Arabia’s plan to generate half of the country’s electricity from renewables by 2030 ...
China is demonized in the western countries for human rights abuses only because it is a communist country I am not saying that China is not doing bad shit but that western countries hypocrisy of only highlighting China. Where as they themselves have exploited and are still exploiting African countries resources by using corrupt African politicians that are doing many human rights on their people.
At least Europeans have started to at least call-out Israel now but they should also call out US for enabling Israel but for those abuses it's okay not to say anything to the US.
Sadly I think the only viable route to this is wealthy countries paying poor countries to dismantle these power plants (and presumably replace them with something equivalent).
This has two nice benefits. One, wealthy countries show they act in good faith. Two, this will greatly reduce wealth disparity.
Of course, there's the chance some people will threaten to emit gas to acquire disproportionate power. This is true, but still preferable to the west just roasting the planet and then blaming china. Like grow tf up.
This might be less of a problem than you would expect.
Pakistan, for example, is currently experiencing a massive solar boom. Their electricity grid has been notoriously unreliable in the past, so the moment solar panels and batteries became cheap enough just about everyone chose distributed solar. It is now the world's sixth-largest solar market, despite having the world's 42nd-largest GDP.
The goal in poor countries isn't dismantling fossil fuel plants - those never grew beyond a rounding error. The goal is to avoid building new fossil fuel plants as their economies grow, and that's a lot easier now that solar has become the cheapest source of electricity. Their old power plants will eventually close down, but it's not a priority on a global scale.
>wealthy countries paying poor countries to dismantle these power plants (and presumably replace them with something equivalent)
And what about wealthy countries, that using those power plants? I mean there aren't many of them now, but have you been communicating with Europeans recently? Not with the privileged elites in the universities, but with the working class Europeans? There are so many complaints about energy prices that I'm afraid even there democracy can't be thwarted anymore and we'll see burners all over Europe in like 10 years from now.
Why not both? We've been claiming to want to reduce carbon emissions since before I was born. It's not even a hard pitch—if we're insanely wealthy and have the capacity to discuss greening our grid and still can't or won't, why would you reasonably expect countries with basically no capacity to do this to forget about centuries of globalization, colonization, and exploitation? We burned the globe; if we want to heal this, the most reasonable approach is good-faith reconciliation and remediation.
But the way conversation is now we're headed straight towards ecofascism. A healthy globe for me but not for thee (as if this even makes much sense).
It's convenient for the US to blame "developing economies" (especially China) for the problem. Solutions like "buying off other countries" make sense. (And in itself is not a bad idea.) But it's a deflection from the bigger issue which is consumption at home.
But as long as we can make it a "them " problem, our population doesn't have to feel guilt, or understand they are the people who need to change.
Sounds good I'm theory but tough to put into practice. Regardless of the environmental consequences there is no way that voters in wealthy countries will agree to subsidize hostile regimes. And many of those countries are so deeply corrupt that the majority of funding tends to be stolen by corrupt politicians or building contractors.
This I wasn't quite aware of. Thanks for the correction.
> But it's theoretically possible to burn hydrocarbons and turn the CO2 into coal and leave it like that with a net energy gain
This would be a game-changer! Though "theoretically" is pulling a bit of weight here...
> We should get rid of coal first, as it's irredeemable in this regard and methane second, as it's a greenhouse gas which tends to leak,
I also agree with your list. Burning stuff for grid energy should stop ASAP. Liquid fuel for transport is, however, the most difficult and probably the last to be replaced. It's to the point that generating green liquid fuels (that don't use fossil sources of carbon) is still actively researched and used, as air travel or shipping may never become feasible on green energy sources.