We went through the same thing with self-driving cars. All the talking heads were crowing about how many jobs were going to get eliminated soon and we needed to prepare society for the ramifications. About a decade into it and they are just starting to roll out self-driving taxis in very limited controlled fashion. And the loss of jobs that everyone was worried about is easily another decade away (if at all).
LLMs are cool and useful. So is self-driving tech. But the fear mongering is a bit premature. Folks seem to have bought in to the singularity style AGI event, but reality is AGI if possible is going to be a long slow incremental process.
Decades do actually pass however and worker protections also take decades to fight for, and put in place. In fact sometimes they take generations.
I agree with you about the fear mongering. I also just don't know where all this kind of not very accurate but very reassuring presentation of information will go and how it will sway others
I’m sure you would also accept that at some point it could become too late to start worrying about the risks if the danger has already gone exponential.
So how do you determine when is the right time to worry? If you have to error on worrying too early or two late, which way do you bias your decision?
LLMs are cool and useful. So is self-driving tech. But the fear mongering is a bit premature. Folks seem to have bought in to the singularity style AGI event, but reality is AGI if possible is going to be a long slow incremental process.