Great HN thread! I think it is close to impossible to predict where the market for AI and LLMs in particular will be in two years. The major players are making their best bets. For the value of frontier LLMs, the article by Blaise Agüera y Arcas and Peter Norvig making the case that we might already have AGI: https://www.noemamag.com/artificial-general-intelligence-is-...
I use both OpenAI and Anthropic (I use my own Common Lisp and Racket Scheme client libraries that I implement with similar APIs) and I was amazed last night how well self hosted LLama-based and Mistral LLMs run on a 32G Mac Mini that was delivered to me late yesterday afternoon. This is not expensive hardware. And tools like llama.cpp will keep getting more efficient, etc.
We are going to see unimaginable (at least to me) advances in AI and AGI, at all levels of the tech food chain. And these advances will occur quickly. Place your bets, and remain flexible!
I use both OpenAI and Anthropic (I use my own Common Lisp and Racket Scheme client libraries that I implement with similar APIs) and I was amazed last night how well self hosted LLama-based and Mistral LLMs run on a 32G Mac Mini that was delivered to me late yesterday afternoon. This is not expensive hardware. And tools like llama.cpp will keep getting more efficient, etc.
We are going to see unimaginable (at least to me) advances in AI and AGI, at all levels of the tech food chain. And these advances will occur quickly. Place your bets, and remain flexible!