It seems like over the past few years Chrome has gotten more comfortable with shoving stuff into the top right section, with icons just popping in and out based on context. I used to have muscle memory for my extensions there, and now from right to left there's a kebab settings overflow button, a profile switcher icon (I don't even use profiles), a reading list button (again, not using that), an extensions overflow puzzle piece icon, and finally my extensions. I always have to think twice before clicking anything up there.
Now having the download button that's only sometimes there is one more thing to throw me off. I couldn't even figure out what would make it disappear. I'd clear the downloads list and it's still there.