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> Their outcomes indicate otherwise.

This is assuming the consequent.

There are two possible explanations being proposed for the observed outcome "Congresspeople do better than average at the stock market."

I am proposing the explanation "they are engaging in insider trading," and proposing evidence to support that.

You are proposing the explanation "they're just better at it", and giving as evidence solely the outcome we are attempting to explain. It's circular.



Sure, we both lack evidence. However, my view is that people, even congresspeople, deserve the benefit of doubt.




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