> what the US-Bahamas extradition treaty is for

Which may also be why we aren't seeing a warrant. Maybe SBF is playing for sympathy. But maybe he's just delusional. If the latter is the case, there is no need to tip him off with a performative warrant.

Right thing to do would be to start the extradition process ASAP so he can’t jump the island.

> presidential pardon

I’ve seen a lot of stupid conspiracy theories on HN, but the SBF political influence meme has to be one of the funniest.

Wouldn't expect him to stay somewhere with extradition. Wasn't there a rumor that he tried to flee to Dubai?

Morality aside, that's probably his best move, assuming he has enough of that $3B loan left to grease the exit.

Fleeing to Dubai might mess with his "it was just an honest mistake" PR tour.

At least he's not (yet) borrowing Do Kwon's argument about being the victim of an unjustified witch hunt.

> Fleeing to Dubai might mess with his "it was just an honest mistake" PR tour.

Not in any way that would matter. If it was an honest mistake, fleeing to Dubai (or anywhere) is still the right thing to do. Which means doing so doesn't undermine the idea that it was an honest mistake.

Unless the PR tour is some weird plan to buy time while he gets his ducks in a row to arrange his escape and amass his assets. Could also be playing himself off as dumb/broke naive guy until local police get lazy and then trivially board some random yacht.

There are allegations that SBF "ingratiated" himself with the Bahamian government.

Yep. Thus the word "voluntarily."