> I think they are minimum 3 years away from anything exciting beta
I think that's optimistic. Ten plus years.
There's too many exceptions. In my home town, an intersection. Imagine, if you will:
Traveling westbound there's four straight ahead lanes. There's a traffic light for each straight lane. The traffic lights will alternate "left two straight, green; right two straight red" and then "left two straight, red; right two, green". It does this because there's a tunnel and a roundabout right there. I guarantee that FSD will choke on this.
If the pavement is clearly marked i would give it a good chance. We have a 6-way intersection with similar lighting that it succeeds at... Other than completely and recklessly disregarding the clearly visible "no turn on red" sign.
We also have a road with a reversible lane in the middle. Thankfully it recognizes the red X sign for this. Unfortunately, if it's driving for 11 seconds without seeing anothee, it will suddenly decide to merge into the incoming lane to make an upcoming left...
Completely agree. I think this is part of the hazard of the fsd training ethos that 'san francisco is the hardest case.' It completely dodges the issue that California actually maintains safe road markings compared to most other states.
I think in Japan or China this approach could actually work, but there is zero hope for it to work generally in the US.
I think that's optimistic. Ten plus years.
There's too many exceptions. In my home town, an intersection. Imagine, if you will:
Traveling westbound there's four straight ahead lanes. There's a traffic light for each straight lane. The traffic lights will alternate "left two straight, green; right two straight red" and then "left two straight, red; right two, green". It does this because there's a tunnel and a roundabout right there. I guarantee that FSD will choke on this.