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> They're making Russia anti-fragile

> It can also trade with China to survive

These statements are at very much at odds with each other. They might be able to squeeze some money out of Europe now, but if the relationship isn't mended with blinding speed then Europe is going to move away from Russian energy permanently. This situation would turn Russia into a Chinese vassal state.



> This situation would turn Russia into a Chinese vassal state.

It's a bipolar world though, you're either a vassal of the US or China. I don't know of any country which isn't a vassal to any of these too, except for Syria and Iran who are vassal states of Russia. And Cuba to some extent. Still being able to survive without the US is pretty anti-fragile.


Putin's whole ambition (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundations_of_Geopolitics) is to expand to and beyond the Russian Empire.

Becoming a Chinese client state would be a massive failure for him.




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