I've been thinking about what can the Russians do?
Seize a part of Ukraine and force the Ukrainian government into a peace treaty that hands over the territories. What those territories are is hard to predict.
Overthrow the government and put a puppet one in its place. This would require some sort of occupation to keep that puppet regime in power, and the Russian forces would be constantly harassed and attacked by guerrilla style tactics (as in Iraq but probably better trained and equipped).
Unless Russia has additional hundreds of thousands of troops they can't effectively occupy a country as big as the Ukraine. That leaves limited objectives.
They also have a limited timeframe before the ground thaws, limiting operational activities with heavy equipment to be along roads. The famous mud country side of eastern Europe is staring soon and will continue for some months making major tank manoeuvres more difficult.
If you are in the Ukraine.
- Ensure you have at least 1 week of food and water.
- Make a bug out bag if you need to leave at a moments notice (including basic medical supplies).
- Have an escape plan that DOES NOT include major roads to get out of the city.
- Cash is king and anything else of value you can trade for supplies.
- If you have a Dacha (or a friend has one) that might be a good place to wait it out if you have to get out of the city.
Seize a part of Ukraine and force the Ukrainian government into a peace treaty that hands over the territories. What those territories are is hard to predict.
Overthrow the government and put a puppet one in its place. This would require some sort of occupation to keep that puppet regime in power, and the Russian forces would be constantly harassed and attacked by guerrilla style tactics (as in Iraq but probably better trained and equipped).
Unless Russia has additional hundreds of thousands of troops they can't effectively occupy a country as big as the Ukraine. That leaves limited objectives.
They also have a limited timeframe before the ground thaws, limiting operational activities with heavy equipment to be along roads. The famous mud country side of eastern Europe is staring soon and will continue for some months making major tank manoeuvres more difficult.
If you are in the Ukraine.
- Ensure you have at least 1 week of food and water. - Make a bug out bag if you need to leave at a moments notice (including basic medical supplies). - Have an escape plan that DOES NOT include major roads to get out of the city. - Cash is king and anything else of value you can trade for supplies. - If you have a Dacha (or a friend has one) that might be a good place to wait it out if you have to get out of the city.
Be safe