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The US has Intel and China is highly unlikely to make a move on Taiwan at the peak of Taiwan's technological power. They're far more likely to wait 10-20 years to when TSMC is no longer the same powerhouse and then slowly come in as the benevolent helping hand.


I doubt the CCP taking the Republic of China will be slow, economical, and political like we've seen them do for their other puppet countries.

It will be abrupt and bloody. The ROC knows these strategies, the only way it will fall is by force and hopefully the US and other sovereign countries stand up and help against that when the day comes.

It seems that the CCPs plan is to whittle away support from all of the ROC's allies first, then crush them.


>hopefully the US and other sovereign countries stand up and help against that when the day comes.

Genuine question, what do you think that help would look like? Because every time I try and game out scenarios for China re-absorbing Taiwan by force I come to the conclusion it would essentially be an unwinnable 'war' by western nations and likely a further erosion of the United State's position as the global military superpower (on the back of the Afghan pullout). China can afford to play the long, slow game when it comes to their proximity and civilian toll in/around Taiwan, much of the West can not.


First off, China wouldn't be re-absorbing Taiwan, the ROC is the original and the PRC is the communist spin-off.

Second, I would assume heavy heavy sanctions, no western nation to deal with China at all. Military force if foreign troops stationed in Taiwan were injured or killed.

The West can play the slow game with Taiwan because it's solely the CCP's problem and the current status quo is what the West wants.


When has the CCP done anything abrupt and bloody against another country?


Generally that's reserved for its own people, that was my point.

The Land Reform, The Great Leap Forward, Tiananmen Square Massacre, Hong Kong.

The persecution and genocide of Uyghurs / Tibetans / Falun Gong.


"Abrupt and bloody" is the US way of doing things. China has no reason for doing it like that.


The Great Leap Forward, Tiananmen Square Massacre, Tibet tortures, Uyghur genocide.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/ccp-at-100-years-a-century-of-...

But please, continue to shill for the murderous authoritarian regime with your whataboutism.


I'm talking about current affairs, not stories from five decades ago, unless you want to talk about Indians, Vietnam, Philadelphia bombing, or Kent State. The alleged Uighur "cultural genocide" is nothing compared to actual genocide in Middle East, with one million random civilians dead because of American invasion. The fact that you're even mentioning Tibet, which, before Chinese invasion, was literally a feudal state with the ruling caste treating everyone else as slaves doesn't really help your point either.

But please, continue to shill for the murderous American regime with your whataboutism.




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