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I wonder how widely the concept of expected value is discussed outside of poker or statistics. Simple concept, but it can really help with all kinds of decisions in life.


Hi all 3 parents, I agree!

1. It’s incredibly good that the startup founders were actually honest (no last-moment dilution),

2. Stock valuation is poker, although a bit more when you know the company from inside,

3. I’m incredibly thankful towards the owners (Although I’ll hide their name because I don’t have perfect reputation),

4. I’m incredibly thankful towards the economic system which allows us to get at least that.

I just wanted to give an example where leaving early wasn’t the perfect choice. But it was as optimized as could be.




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