The "Get and keep America open" plan is really a "keep dying" plan, but this is something few want to admit. Someone else pointed out how deceptive the "flattening the curve" charts were. Most showed a symmetrical rise and fall. In reality, that plan just keeps the hospitalization rate and death rate down to what the medical system can handle. Both stay high for many months until either saturation ("herd immunity") is approached, or there's a vaccine. The "flat" part is probably a year long, somewhere around the current death rate, which is in the 1000-2000 deaths per day range. (That may be underestimated. See this Financial Times article, which is looking at "excess mortality", or the change in deaths from all causes.)[1]
"Herd immunity" is a long way off.[2] That only happens when 70% or so of the population has had this virus. While there's not much data yet about how many people have cleared the virus and acquired antibodies, most figures are around 5% of the population, except a few cities, primarily New York, where it may be somewhere above 20%. So the dying is maybe 6-10% done, nationally.
The CDC is now avoiding death forecasts beyond mid-June.[3] Previous longer-term projections have been so far off as to be useless.[4]
Don't bunch up, and wear a real mask that protects you, not others.
"Herd immunity" is a long way off.[2] That only happens when 70% or so of the population has had this virus. While there's not much data yet about how many people have cleared the virus and acquired antibodies, most figures are around 5% of the population, except a few cities, primarily New York, where it may be somewhere above 20%. So the dying is maybe 6-10% done, nationally.
The CDC is now avoiding death forecasts beyond mid-June.[3] Previous longer-term projections have been so far off as to be useless.[4]
Don't bunch up, and wear a real mask that protects you, not others.
[1] https://www.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac8... [2] https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/no-place-on-earth-i... [3] https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/forecas... [4] https://www.foxnews.com/politics/coronavirus-model-estimates...