The graduate student analysis doesn't seem right. I don't think the article understands the incentives of graduate students. Yes, there are lots of foreign graduate students, especially masters students. One big motivator for them studying in the US is that they want to work for a US company and / or immigrate. Moreover, the ones that want to pursue a PhD often choose institutions based on potential advisors. It seems very unlikely that these things are going to change in the next year or so. Schools might miss out on prospective students with a time table, but I'd be surprised if the situation in 2025 is significantly different from today.
I do see academic towns really hurting from the lack of undergrads. That's a big decrease in population, and even if most businesses are allowed to open in the fall, lots of universities will take conservative measures and not let undergrads back on campus --- dorms etc. being an ideal transmission environment.
Students graduating this year will not be able to remain and work in the US because the US has stopped processing work visas and are explicitly preventing immigrants from getting new jobs.
This is in addition to the fact that international student numbers had already dropped over the past couple of years thanks to US hostility towards immigrants.
> Students graduating this year will not be able to remain and work in the US because the US has stopped processing work visas and are explicitly preventing immigrants from getting new jobs.
What story are you referring to? I've seen stories around the edges of this kind of thing for H1B's, but nothing so definite.
A student graduating now wouldn't need one yet anyone because they get two years of OPT if they were in STEM.
> A student graduating now wouldn't need one yet anyone because they get two years of OPT if they were in STEM.
Yes, but it's also possible to use some (or all) of that OPT time on internships in industry. I have colleagues who were in that situation, and had to spend a few months back in their native country after graduation, while their visa was being processed because they had no OPT left.
Perhaps the lack of foreign graduate students willing to do high skilled labor for $12k/year will incentivize universities to begin to pay rational wages to graduate student researchers. Then American students might actually find it economically appealing to get graduate degrees.
I do see academic towns really hurting from the lack of undergrads. That's a big decrease in population, and even if most businesses are allowed to open in the fall, lots of universities will take conservative measures and not let undergrads back on campus --- dorms etc. being an ideal transmission environment.