I've heard that Behavioral economics is inspired by "Psychohistory", and
these Seshat folks are also pretty serious about it.
Any attempt that wants to be predictive will have to contend with
"strange loops" of propaganda/PR efforts as well as the side-effects of
their own work (since they arn't hiding.)
> Behavioral economics studies the effects of psychological, cognitive,
emotional, cultural and social factors on the economic decisions of
individuals and institutions and how those decisions vary from those
implied by classical theory.
> TerminusDB powers Seshat, the Global History Databank, which is like
the Foundation in that Seshat is dedicated to bringing together the most
current and comprehensive body of knowledge about human history in one
place. The massive collection of historical information allows
researchers to rigorously test different hypotheses about the rise and
fall of large-scale societies and human history. The core TerminusDB team
are active in the Cliodynamics community. Cliodynamics treats history as
science — practitioners develop theories that explain such dynamic
historical processes, translate these theories into mathematical models
and then test predictions against data.
> Our unique Databank systematically collects what is currently known about the social and
political organization of human societies and how civilizations have
evolved over time. This massive collection of historical information
allows us and others to rigorously test different hypotheses about the
rise and fall of large-scale societies across the globe and human
history.
> Cliodynamics (/ˌkliːoʊdaɪˈnæmɪks/) is a transdisciplinary area of
research integrating cultural evolution, economic history/cliometrics,
macrosociology, the mathematical modeling of historical processes during
the longue durée, and the construction and analysis of historical
databases.[1] Cliodynamics treats history as science. Its practitioners
develop theories that explain such dynamical processes as the rise and
fall of empires, population booms and busts, spread and disappearance of
religions.[2][3] These theories are translated into mathematical models.
Finally, model predictions are tested against data. Thus, building and
analyzing massive databases of historical and archaeological information
is one of the most important goals of cliodynamics.[4]
Any attempt that wants to be predictive will have to contend with "strange loops" of propaganda/PR efforts as well as the side-effects of their own work (since they arn't hiding.)
> Behavioral economics studies the effects of psychological, cognitive, emotional, cultural and social factors on the economic decisions of individuals and institutions and how those decisions vary from those implied by classical theory.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Behavioral_economics
> TerminusDB powers Seshat, the Global History Databank, which is like the Foundation in that Seshat is dedicated to bringing together the most current and comprehensive body of knowledge about human history in one place. The massive collection of historical information allows researchers to rigorously test different hypotheses about the rise and fall of large-scale societies and human history. The core TerminusDB team are active in the Cliodynamics community. Cliodynamics treats history as science — practitioners develop theories that explain such dynamic historical processes, translate these theories into mathematical models and then test predictions against data.
https://medium.com/terminusdb/terminusdb-whats-in-a-name-27b...
> Our unique Databank systematically collects what is currently known about the social and political organization of human societies and how civilizations have evolved over time. This massive collection of historical information allows us and others to rigorously test different hypotheses about the rise and fall of large-scale societies across the globe and human history.
http://seshatdatabank.info/
> Cliodynamics (/ˌkliːoʊdaɪˈnæmɪks/) is a transdisciplinary area of research integrating cultural evolution, economic history/cliometrics, macrosociology, the mathematical modeling of historical processes during the longue durée, and the construction and analysis of historical databases.[1] Cliodynamics treats history as science. Its practitioners develop theories that explain such dynamical processes as the rise and fall of empires, population booms and busts, spread and disappearance of religions.[2][3] These theories are translated into mathematical models. Finally, model predictions are tested against data. Thus, building and analyzing massive databases of historical and archaeological information is one of the most important goals of cliodynamics.[4]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cliodynamics