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My takeaway from reading the top voted 2010 predictions is that people are terrible about predicting what's going to happen 10 years later.

A few of them are correct (cheapish high density displays, commercially successful ebook readers, self-driving cars) but most are terribly inaccurate.

My fun (and probably wrong) predictions:

* Hacker News will still look mostly the same in 2030 as it does now and did in 2010.

* Most predictions in the parent post will be at most mildly accurate and otherwise completely wrong.

* The Artemis program, if it survives into the next administration, won't land anyone on the moon until the latter part of the decade (2025 or later).

* With the emerging increased commercial lift capacity we've been seeing in the last 5 years we'll possibly see the first commercial space station or at least the plans for one to start launching in the 2030's.

* (Unlikely) Elon will decide he wants his Roadster back. A Starship mission to demonstrate deep space recovery capability will launch to intercept the car and return it to Earth.



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