That’s reasonable. Personally I doubt the stimulant effects come close to zeroing out the lost productivity from heath issues and early deaths. But, at these scales it’s a multi billion dollar effect and needs to be accounted for.
Also, if you object to wildly off base that’s fair. I would call even the 3x difference between the CDC’s 170B and my simplified 500B sanity check as wildly off base. But, that’s just my scale +/- 50% is fine, 2x raises read flags for me, but out at 3+x is a fundamental incompatibility in different estimates.
Also, if you object to wildly off base that’s fair. I would call even the 3x difference between the CDC’s 170B and my simplified 500B sanity check as wildly off base. But, that’s just my scale +/- 50% is fine, 2x raises read flags for me, but out at 3+x is a fundamental incompatibility in different estimates.