Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

This is much more prevalent in academia.

In industry you _eventually_ need to show result and earn money, it never get to that part in academia.

beginloop People publish papers that are practically useless but can be cited by other people in the same position, which then improves their standings endloop



Tell that to Theranos, Fyre Festival, WeWork, the counterfeiters on Amazon, the myriad of shady ICOs, and on and on. Unfortunately, scammers are rife in industry. Let's not fool ourselves.


Your examples seem to support the point you were replying to. Theranos is a perfect example of a scam unravelling because eventually the scammer needs to produce results, and not just self-referential research papers that never quite go anywhere.


I wonder how many more years it will take for uBeam to give up the ghost. Dave Jones has so thoroughly dismantled that one, it should have been over years ago.

There's a sucker born every minute and a skilled con man can exploit that unfortunate truism to keep a scam for quite a while. Moller's skycar is an example of a flagrant scam that lasted for decades.


I provided several top of mind examples. It doesn't take long to think of entire industries that are shady, from payday lenders to cigarette companies.


> In industry you _eventually_ need to show result and earn money

> It doesn't take long to think of entire industries that are shady, from payday lenders

I trust you aren't arguing that payday lenders don't earn money!

There's a huge difference between "I don't like what this industry is doing" and "this industry is fraudulent, can never produce the goods/services claimed, and will never turn a profit for the investors".


I don't see much of a difference between these companies and the person in the article. Both are taking advantage of a vulnerable population for some personal benefit.


If you have completely terrible credit and have a minor emergency, a payday loan may be your only option. If you take one, you’re supposed to pay it off with your next paycheck or 2, so the interest isn’t that outrageous. It certainly beats losing your job because you can’t drive to work.


The original point was that people scamming investors get discovered because the investors are invested enough to follow up on their claims. Less so in academia.

The immorality of Pay Day is very much known, and it is not relevant because Pay Day is scamming their customers, not their investors.


Both those examples produce bucketloads of cash for their shareholders. They're not defrauding the people who bankrolled them, they're taking advantage of the vulnerable, which is an entirely different problem.


No, both are dependent on cheating people. One cheats people who can fight back, and is thus considered criminal. The other cheats people who cannot fight back, and is profitable.


I think your examples help prove the parent comment's point. Each of those companies faced a reckoning when they weren't able to deliver on their promises.


WeWork had its valuation cut and the founder walked away with $1B+. Where can I sign up for this reckoning?


It is very possible that there will be action against Mr. Neumann. Any court of competent jurisdiction would likely rule that he was in breach of his fiduciary responsibility. There are even richer people who are not happy with him, who can hire even bigger armies of lawyers to make his life hard. I'm guessing they'll wait until they've got the company locked down and him out, then start going after him.


I wouldn't be visiting any Saudi embassies if I were him.


True, the founders can make out like bandits if they time it but the company itself will go down in flames if it's built on bullshit


Given this just happened, I don't think it is over yet.


What is Elizebeth Holmes' net worth before and after Theranos? Are we sure she did any real reckoning?


Supposedly she stopped paying her lawyers, so she might actually be broke.


Not the Amazon counterfeiters, yet.


Citing legendary scams from the last 10 years is not exactly a way to show that an entire industry is fraudulent.


Three more examples

The rideshare industry famously doesn’t make a profit.

Neither does the electric scooter industry.

The meal in a box industry has retention problems, because eventually their customers learn to shop and cook.


Those aren't necessarily inherent flaws, they're bad execution. Ride-sharing _can_ be very profitable, but it's also supposed to be very low-overhead. SV startups don't do low-overhead.

Electric scooters are a little iffier, as they take significantly more capex and there isn't much data on market acceptance (Or, at least, none of which I know.)

Meal-in-a-box is not a bad idea either; new people are showing up every day whining about how, "Adult-ing is hard." The fact that people eventually "graduate" is not an issue so long as more people are being born. It's just not necessarily something Joe Six-Pack is going to buy.

If you've noticed a common theme here, it's that the idea of hyper-scaling can be flawed. The above all have significantly lower threshold for market saturation than they believe, if you ask me.

Ride-sharing can be successful, but may not take over the world. Electric scooters can be successful, but may not take over the world. Meal-in-a-box can be successful, but may not take over the world.

SV gets stuck in the pareto trap of scaling past economies of scale and to the point where that next 20% of your customer base takes 80% of your capital. You can push scaling, but the market only moves so fast.


Ride sharing is only viable if the market shrug off all the externalities (insurance, traffic management, personal data security, etc) and keep pumping money into it in the hopes of fully autonomous vehicles becoming a reality within the next decade. Indeed if this type of hyperscaling were profitable we should have seen major regional taxi operators like airlines in developed countries a long time go, but alas there never was because it was not a good idea then and now.

Ditto for electric scooters - I rarely see anybody use one but it is somehow already costing my country millions in medical costs.

https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/385406/scooters-2-point-...


The housing mortgage crisis, dot com boom and bust, payday loan industry, for-profit universities, fad diet companies, supplements with no scientific basis, cigarette manufacturers... There are whole industries and periods of time where large numbers of shady companies are rising and falling.


dot com boom and bust?

Like Whole Foods or broadcast.com?


Like pets.com. It turns out shipping 30 lb bags of dog food via FedEx isn't such a good idea.

Edit: Not such a good idea in 1999, when operating without economies of scale and scope, and with high transportation costs.


and yet now i receive dense boxes of cat litter from amazon.


Seems to work for Chewy.com & Amazon.


This was an issue of bad timing, not a bad business model. People weren't really mentally at the point of buying such thing on-line, and pets.com burnt through their cash so quickly that it couldn't wait for people to start adopting it. As pointed out by others, Amazon made it work; however, they are very smart about diversifying, re-investing, and not being profligate with cash-on-hand.


You forgot Solar Freakin Roadways and the water from air bottle, but yes them and the billionaire banksters who nearly bankrupted most of the world who are the biggest scammers, like Dick Cheney, who didn't serve a day in prison for their crimes. (Too big to fail. -> Too big to jail.)


Most research is useless. It's almost inevitable.

But this is stupid levels of over-hype, and it has nothing to do with academia / business. It has everything to do with overbranding and rushing the hype.

https://twitter.com/SarahTaber_bww/status/117189568344985600...


At what point should we say "lying" instead of "over-hyping" or "overbranding"? I think they crossed that point. They were just plain lying.


I think the point is much, much earlier. It's just that it makes so much money that people are reluctant to call it for what it is - exploiting your fellow human beings.


In academia it's even worse. There's a glass floor that's also a glass ceiling. There's one group of people making tons of money publishing worthless material. There's a second group doing all the work in the false hope that they'll someday get to join the first group. I was lucky enough to learn this lesson as an undergrad and didn't get tricked into going for a PhD.

By the way, the "research" about texting while driving you might have read about or heard discussed on NPR is just highly plausible bullshit.


Who is “making tons of money publishing” anything, let alone “worthless material”?

Sure, Springer is making money, but I never met — nor heard of — anyone in academia making money through publishing. The truth may come as a surprise to you, but publishing articles, reviewing articles, editing journals, all of that is done for free.

You might make some money through consulting, but publishing? No. Not even when you write a textbook.


Consulting is where the big buck is, and a lot of times the income is warranted.

But _sometimes_ it’s entirely not warranted, the party just wanted the name attached. Just like how company brings in a consulting firm to confirm its existing decision.


That’s the story of every consultancy since the beginning of time.


Eh, there's also usually a lot less money on the line in academia. I would bet that this particular type of problem is positively correlated with potential commercializability.


Not necessarily, a lot of people are willing to sacrifice a lot in order to jump in the tenure wagon.

Which sometimes buffles me because it doesn't reward particularly well for a position reserved to people with strong intellectual prowess, it merely prevent people from being fired for doing nothing.

There are definitely people in academia that are driven for truth, but I don't know if that's the majority or a minority.


It's not about the money. Tenure makes you king of a small kingdom for life.


As someone whose going up for tenure next year...you vastly overestimate the benefits of tenure.


On planet negative interest rates, the time horizon for showing results in business is getting longer and longer. It may be the early stages of post-scarcity but it sure is weird.


Are you saying this as someone who's in industry or in academia?


Personally, both. And I'd say something like... industry projects eventually have to actually be profitable or it gets cut or eventually called out as fraud. Same is true of academic projects, except the currency is reputation and hopefully application. Once a field is believed not to be fruitful, those projects stop getting funded.

But academic projects are inherently closer to aspirational, so I'm not sure it's fair to conflate aspirational with fraud. This episode sounds like fraud. Aspirational is claiming your novel magnetic media "could" enable a terabyte per centimeter storage density when you know perfectly well it couldn't hit that in a real application. I dislike the rhetorical overreach and would not use naive statements like that, but it is a different thing entirely to take claim for work that wasn't even done.


Both. I finally feel useful to the society, I don’t regret academia though, a lot of random project that I coded for didn’t go anywhere but trained my coding skill.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: