Thanks, I appreciate the thorough explanation. I agree that the "expected value" idea is an interesting one and I see how when viewed through that prism that the language I used and that linked source used can be seen as biased and more likely to incite a more partisan response.

Although I am still not sure I agree with the general guideline of not bringing up something like that incident as I believe it was on topic to both the post and the comment I replied to. My comment might have been the one to inspire a flamewar type response, but it wasn't the only comment that mentioned that incident in general. That said, I will try to be more mindful of that in the future.