There is absolutely no evidence that this fork will gain traction, because it contributes nothing new technically, so it's unlikely we'll reach the point you mention.
I'm not an expert, but it seems within the realm of possibility. Despite what hackernews thinks, the forkers have a somewhat reasonable argument, in that Vagg did violate the Code of Conduct (because it is extreme), and the committee voted to ignore it (because he's a valuable contributor). Morality aside, it calls the system into question if someone can violate established rules and get away with it because the judges disagree with the rules.
Also, several members of their ruling committee left to make the fork. So it's not just a bunch of randoms, and they might be able to make some meaningful progress on their own.
> the forkers have a somewhat reasonable argument, in that Vagg did violate the Code of Conduct
Vagg seems to have a somewhat reasonable argument as well, in that he cannot correct behavior that has not been noted as problematic by himself or others.
If that's true, even though committee members ended up leaving for the fork, I could see their behavior as extreme enough to drive away people who try to contribute to the fork.
Edit: I'm not sure why you're getting downvoted. Either case seems possible to me given the dearth of objective information. That I'm collecting upvotes while you are getting downvotes is odd, and IMO unwarranted.
An important thing to note about that analogy is that defections to the West happened because the West was actually better, not merely more attractive on the surface.
Also, several members of their ruling committee left to make the fork. So it's not just a bunch of randoms, and they might be able to make some meaningful progress on their own.
That's easy enough to answer - look at the commit histories of those four.
> it calls the system into question if someone can violate established rules and get away with it because the judges disagree with the rules.
Welcome to adulthood, corporate life, and the real world. It's not fair. It's not designed to be fair. It's not intended to be fair. It's never been fair. You just pull up your big boy pants and deal with it.
I truly hope we are about the high water mark for this kind of entirely irrelevant nonsense. It seems at least in this case the majority of the TSC had the sense to properly deem this ridiculous.
