Also, this trade war pushes the USA close to a war with China over Taiwan and maybe Panama Canal, which is exactly what you want as an authoritarian to stay on longer. Find an enemy and use emergency powers to maintain control.
Decoupling from China will lead to China annex Taiwan sooner. China will have the USA and the world by the balls then, so not sure we want that to happen quicker.
And I don't think anyone is calling themselves allies of the USA right now. The whole world is looking to decouple from the USA. Europe is completely over the USA, they can't rely on them for leadership, protection or for trade.
From a tech perspective, expect Europe to decouple from the USA from an economic and cultural perspective in the next decade. Smartest thing Europe can do is to create alternatives to US services, build its own defense industry and stop looking at the USA for any leadership.
is TSMC not currently building a plant in the US? and ASML are Dutch, so they're not at risk. I’m not saying that China taking Taiwan wouldn't be a massive strategic boon, but I don't think it would be "having the world by the balls" by any means
TSMC has not committed to a US plant that applies their most advanced technology. Currently, they are going to produce chips with larger slower features, some generations behind their state of the art -- that's commercially very useful, and a good idea, but in no way replaces the state of the art chips that they produce in Taiwan. Alas.
do you not think that if China invaded Taiwan, the top minds there would just leave and go elsewhere? the machines they use are built in the Netherlands. I know it's not quite as simple as that, but I don't think it'd be the end of the world like people are saying. I think worse would be the precedent it would set.
Other companies have the same EUV machines. TSMC also made the good decision in hindsight to make an early bet on those machines.
We know TSMC is dominant - the real knowledge of how they are doing that is in the heads of people working at TSMC. Or maybe better to say that something is missing from the competitors? Process? Management? Everything?
Cadence and Synopsys are US companies that need to know many of the technical parameters of TSMC processes. They might know more.
America only cared about Taiwan because it warehoused the exiled American friendly government that had a historical claim to power and could potentially be reinstalled.
As time goes on that becomes less and less relevant. Might be time to cut and run.
> Decoupling from China will lead to China annex Taiwan sooner. China will have the USA and the world by the balls then, so not sure we want that to happen quicker.
That seems to be over-rating the importance of Taiwan. If Taiwan sank into the sea tomorrow that'd be a catastrophe and the world would be worse off. But not that badly worse off. Life would continue. China's main global lever comes from the power of their unparalleled-in-history industrial strength and the aura of leadership they are building up internationally because they are substantially more peaceful than the US.
The peacefulness is probably not going to last, unfortunately, but until they change tack it is what it is.
No need, the United States of America already has more surface and underground nuclear test locations than any other nation on earth (IIRC), even more if atmospheric tests are included as those drifted fallout onto US ground surface.
There have been 2,121 tests done since the first in July 1945, involving 2,476 nuclear devices
has been called "the most irradiated, nuclear-blasted spot on the face of the earth".
In March 2009, TIME identified the 1970 Yucca Flat Baneberry Test, where 86 workers were exposed to radiation, as one of the world's worst nuclear disasters.
I mean, we all know who the driver is to launch 'cybertrucks' and 'robotaxis' instead of more affordable variations.
Also, not sure what the whole 800v hype is about. I rent EVs for roadtrips and Tesla's are basically the fastest charging ones with current architecture, haven't had a need for 800v since at the cell level the charging speed is already maxed out.
Re: the Y, even though they won't sell because some hand gestures and behaviors, they did almost every complaint people have about the old model Y.
Looking at EVDatabase, it seems like the 800v cars charge quite a lot faster? The EV6 manages 205kW average compared to 124kW for the long range Model Y. From my experience, the EV6 hits those charging speeds very reliably.
Everything I've seen is that Hyundai/Kia's charge noticeably (though not massively) faster than Tesla's. I've never DCFC a Tesla to compare but my Ioniq is usually under 20 mins in practice
Agree - playing Path of Exile 2 at the moment. I think they are co-located with the Geforce Now servers for my region (Frankfurt) as I have 1ms ping from Nvidia->PoE. 20ms from my house to Nvidia, so I’m not sure my experience is much different from what one would get with a gaming rig.
And if you do the math on what one would cost - by the time the subscription cost catches up, it’s time to upgrade the rig.
> I mean, if you re-elect the guy that tried to forcibly stay in power last time, I'm not sure what else to say...
You're arguing what you think would happen if Trump was elected.
OP is saying something different. He's saying the among the people who voted for Trump, some believed something else would happen and they might feel defrauded.
Which is good for those countries. In my home country of Bangladesh, China is helping build infrastructure. While the U.S. was bankrolling left wing social and activist programs to destabilize the government (and ultimately contributed to the recent overthrow of the government, which will derail a decade of consistent growth).
I think we're quite far off if you want to model full organism complexity. But if you want to answer a research question you can model simpler versions today. Like this research team did around how vision evolves.
By the way– As of recently, we were able to model C Elegans (flatworm) in 3D with all neurons and neurotransmitters. It reacted to virtual stimuli just like a real worm (https://www.nature.com/articles/s43588-024-00738-w). So single-organisms is already possible. But the evolution of these entities in 3D will take us a bit more time is my guess:
Can the virtual flatworm’s virtual actions be mapped to the physical sensors of a flatworm in the real world? Can we get the real world’s flatworm to control any part of the virtual one?
Can these two things interface yet is the question (virtual to real bidirectional interface), especially since you are suggesting we have a clone of it.
If we do this experiment, what does that say about something doing an experiment on humans (humans control humans inside video games).
Sounds insane right? Why would we ever do this? Well … we have this perfect digital clone of a flatworm, what else are we going to do? There’s a lot of evidence that humans would absolutely go down this rabbit hole until it’s logical conclusion.
One word: Teledildonics
Anyway, the flatworm that is born into such an experiment would never know, or it would just be useless to know. :shrugs:
That's quite a cool project, but as a thought can the simple rules you started from... Are they simple enough? Like the rule which states that offspring will carry the traits of parents, so exactly what traits they carry. how are they carried. Are these rules simple enough?
So they carry neural nets and evolve using the NEAT algorithm, which introduces slight variations: new connections and new nodes.
Over time this allows fish to develop basic behavior such as searching for food, navigation a maze, etc.
The only other 'useful' gene right now is around herbivore/carnivore digestion (0 to 1), which allows them to extract more energy from either meat or plant-food. Most of the time they actually develop specific behavior according to this gene.
I don't really code in what offspring need to do beyond having slight variations to both factors described above, it kind of evolves randomly into more complexity (neural net + behaviors).
Also importantly– I need to program an energy decay system and death if they run out. So basically: Energy source, energy decay and evolving neural nets that can give an organism the possibility to survive and evolve if they get more energy. And voila– Life emerges.
Working on plants now, and again simple rules: Neural nets in the plants to mimic evolution of complex biological systems that evolve from generation to generation. And a light-based energy source and light-based energy capture system (leaves). My current (preliminary) experiments show that the plants start to look like trees over time to maximize energy capturing compared to competing plants.
Looking to publish this once I have it a bit more refined.
So the special thing about NEAT is that it allows the shape of the neural net to change. It can also do some sort of mix between two neural nets (like sexual reproduction), but I haven't implemented that.
Natural selection in this sim just happens by itself, there is a limited amount of food and only the best adapted ones survive. So the best performing neural networks duplicate themselves and create small variations of themselves. This part is not connected to the NEAT algorithm, I've just seen that NEAT performs particularly good vs more fixed-structure neural networks.
