You can’t even see a preview of your landing page without making an account. I tend to forget about sites like this after 60 seconds

I'm sorry but I didn't understand. You don't need to create any account to see landing page. There's also a video on landing page's hero section that shows a demo of product.

I see, I think you are already have an account so it redirects you to the web app.

If you want to give it another chance please try https://jetwriter.ai/home (it'll not redirect to /app for logged-in users)

They have 600k+ users - this is an achievement to be lauded!

Congrats on building something people want.

Thank you for the encouraging words! I've been building this for the last 3 years and I'm glad people are finding my tiny project helpful.

No one asked for this crap

You can obviously hard code a hook

Not the current benchmarks, no. The demos in this post are so slow. Between writing the prompt, waiting a long time and checking the work I’d just rather do it myself.

It's not about being faster than you.

It's about working independently while you do other things.

And it's a neat-enough idea for repetitive tasks.

For instance: I do periodic database-level backups of a very closed-source system at work. It doesn't take much of my time, but it's annoying in its simplicity: Run this GUI Windows program, click these things, select this folder, and push the go button. The backup takes as long as it takes, and then I look for obvious signs of either completion or error on the screen sometime later.

With something like this "Computer Use" model, I can automate that process.

It doesn't matter to anyone at all whether it takes 30 seconds or 30 minutes to walk through the steps: It can be done while I'm asleep or on vacation or whatever.

I can keep tabs on it with some combination of manual and automatic review, just like I would be doing if I hired a real human to do this job on my behalf.

(Yeah, yeah. There's tons of other ways to back up and restore computer data. But this is the One, True Way that is recoverable on a blank slate in a fashion that is supported by the manufacturer. I don't get to go off-script and invent a new method here.

But a screen-reading button-clicker? Sure. I can jive with that and keep an eye on it from time to time, just as I would be doing if I hired a person to do it for me.)

Have you tried AutoHotKey for that? It can do GUI automation. Not an LLM, but you can pre-record mouse movements and clicks, I've used it a ton to automate old windows apps

I've tried it previously, and I've also given up on it. I may try it again at some point.

It is worth noting that I am terrible at writing anything resembling "code" on my own. I can generally read it and follow it and understand how it does what it does, why it does that thing, and often spot when it does something that is either very stupid or very clever (or sometimes both), but producing it on a blank canvas has always been something of a quagmire from which I have been unable to escape once I tread into it.

But I can think through abstract processes of various complexities in tiny little steps, and I can also describe those steps very well in English.

Thus, it is without any sense of regret or shame that I say that the LLM era has a boon for me in terms of the things I've been able to accomplish with a computer...and that it is primarily the natural-language instructional input of this LLM "Computer Use" model that I find rather enticing.

(I'd connect the dots and use the fluencies I do have to get the bot to write a functional AHK script, but that sounds like more work than the reward of solving this periodic annoyance is worth.)

They could literally run 24/7 overnight assuming they eventually become good enough to not need hand holding.

Still not a moat tho

A moat can be being the largest in a field, often the case with Buffett investments eg. Coca cola, Apple, Geico.

Nokia's global market share was ~50% in smartphones back in 2007. Remember that?

Comparing "brand moat" in real-world restaurant vs online services where there's no actual barrier to changing service is silly. Doubly silly when they're free users, so they're not customers. (And then there are also end-users when OpenAI is bundled or embedded, e.g. dating/chatbot services).

McDonald's has lock-in and inertia through its franchisees occupying key real-estate locations, media and film tie-ins, promotions etc. Those are physical moats, way beyond a conceptual "brand moat" (without being able to see how Hamilton Wright Helmer's book characterizes those).

They aren’t making money so they haven’t entered any rank. They have users and revenue but cannot last at current setup. Ticking time bomb

Uber became profitable only very recently: https://www.theverge.com/2024/2/8/24065999/uber-earnings-pro...

Yes and look at how much their service has degraded to get there.

It sounds like you actually thought that was an outcome that is possible. Are you the CEO / a decision maker?

“Guy who personally benefits from AI hype says we aren’t in a bubble” - don’t we have enough of these already ??

(I'm the one who posted the url, not author post)

Julian Schrittwieser (author of this post) has been in AI for a long time, he was in the core team who worked on AlphaGo, AlphaZero and MuZero at DeepMind, you can see him in the AlphaGo movie. While it doesn't make his opinion automatically true, I think it makes it worth considering, especially since he's a technical person, not a CEO trying to raise money

"extrapolating an exponential" seems dubious, but I think the point is more that there is no clear sign of slowing down in models capabilities from the benchmarks, so we can still expect improvements

Benchmarks are notoriously easy to fake. Also he doesn’t need to be a CEO trying to raise money in order to have an incentive here to push this agenda / narrative. He has a huge stock grant from Anthropic that will go to $0 when the bubble pops

This just reads like PeakMetrics trying to promote their closed source “bot detection” algorithm. Let’s say that algorithm doesn’t work?