I think he was approaching the concept from the direction of "how many mips and megabytes do we need to create human level intelligence".
That's a different take than "human level is this many mips and megabytes", i.e. his claims are about artificial intelligence, not about biological intelligence.
The machine learning seems to be modeled after the action potential part of neural communication. But biological neurons can communicate also in different ways, i.e. neuro transmitters. Afaik this isn't modeled in the current ml-models at all (neither do we have a good idea how/why that stuff works). So ultimately it's pretty likely that a ml with a billion parameters does not perform the same as an organic brain with a billion synapses
I never claimed the machines would achieve "human level," however you define it. What I actually wrote at the root of this thread is that we have no way of knowing in advance what the future capabilities of these AI systems might be as we scale them up.
That's a different take than "human level is this many mips and megabytes", i.e. his claims are about artificial intelligence, not about biological intelligence.
The machine learning seems to be modeled after the action potential part of neural communication. But biological neurons can communicate also in different ways, i.e. neuro transmitters. Afaik this isn't modeled in the current ml-models at all (neither do we have a good idea how/why that stuff works). So ultimately it's pretty likely that a ml with a billion parameters does not perform the same as an organic brain with a billion synapses